Archive for August, 2009

US debt outlook worsening

Thursday, August 27th, 2009

In announcing that Ben Bernanke would be reappointed to a second four-year term as Federal Reserve chairman, the White House admitted that the US debt situation continues to worsen. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) says the US debt outlook is worse than what the White House says.

The White House projected that over the next ten years the budget deficit would be $2 trillion more than previously projected. Critics had loudly condemned the earlier projections as “rosy.” “Out of touch with economic reality,” some said. The critics have been validated.

The CBO now says the ten-year projection for the deficit is $7.14 trillion, some $2 trillion more than projected as recently as March. It seems that every time new deteriorating economic statistics are evaluated, the economy looks even more bleak and the deficit projection looks even bigger. Can any of the numbers be relied on? Probably not.

It was only six months ago that the White House and the CBO numbers were some $2 trillion lower. What will be the ten-year projection in another six months?

The CBO’s $7.14 trillion projection assumes no changes in Obama administration policies. If the administration’s fiscal plans are allowed for, the CBO’s ten-year deficit projection swells to more than $10 trillion. Historically, the CBO has produced more accurate predictions than the White House. White House predictions nearly always are politically tainted regardless of what party holds the presidency.

The White House expects that economy to shrink by 2.8% this year compared with its earlier estimate of 1.2%. It also expects unemployment to exceed 10% and to stay higher than 8% until the end of 2011. The White House and the CBO see this year’s budget deficit at around $1.6 trillion, which probably will be right considering that this fiscal year ends September 30.

Silver use in electronic devices to increase

Thursday, August 20th, 2009

An innovative and economical mass production technology for building mobile phones, iPhones, picture-phones, and a host of other hand-held electronics allows components to be fastened both mechanically and electronically to printed circuit boards. The technology permits upwards of 200 contacts for components and connections on a small board, increasing the range of features possible in the device while keeping it extremely small.

This development will, according to The Silver Institute’s World Silver Survey, increase the proportion of silver used in electronic devices in the coming years. Also according to the World Silver Survey, 61.4 million ounces of silver were used for electrical and electronics fabrication in the US in 2008, with world use at 201.7 million ounces.

A more detailed discussion of this development and its impact on the silver market can be found in the 2009 Second Quarter issue of Silver News.

Silver News also reports continued improvement in the use of broad-spectrum antimicrobial properties of ionic silver in wound dressings. Antimicrobial ionic silver kills a broad range of pathogens and is being hailed as a major break through in wound dressings. Although antimicrobial ionic dressings now are used mostly in hospitals, products for over-the-counter sales are coming available.

Additional developments for uses of silver in the medical field are discussed in the 2009 Second Quarter issue of Silver News.

Additionally, Silver News reports on the development of a line of jewelry boxes that promise to keep silver tarnish free for up to 35 years. The boxes are lined with a cloth that absorbs gases that cause silver to tarnish, according to the developer, Wolf Designs, which has been making jewelry cases since 1834.

With gold just off all-time high prices, silver jewelry is gaining in popularity. Supposedly, Pandora Jewelry, which is basically silver jewelry, is now the best-selling jewelry in the world. Pandora’s success comes from the company offering a wide variety of attractive but inexpensive pieces.

Treasury Secretary Geithner cannot sell his house

Sunday, August 2nd, 2009

Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner can’t sell his house. Maybe it because he is asking more than the $1.6 million that he paid in 2004 at the top of the housing boom. Housing prices are down, on average, 30% from the 2004 top. Any doubt but that some wealthy person seeking to curry a favor with the Secretary of the Treasury of the United States will pay the asking price?

Anyone remember Hillary Clinton’s “brilliant” commodity trading that made her nearly $100,000 in a few months while husband Bill was governor of Arkansas? It is suspected that Hillary’s profits came from a setup where a wealthy benefactor took the losing sides of all Hillary’s positions and Hillary collected the profitable trades. If someone would do that for a governor’s wife, what would they do for the Secretary of the Treasury of the United States?

Comedy Central did a delightful video on Geithner’s house; well worth the view.